Only 16% of buyers believe it's a good time to buy a home today. That's according to a new study from Fannie Mae. So when we hear that number, it's kind of a shocking number and it's a record low. Let's not put any sugar on this. It's not good.
So when we're talking to our clients that may have thought about buying but are on the fence right now, how can we have just an honest conversation about the market today?
Well, I like this idea of a "then versus now" conversation. The "then versus now" conversation is dealing with real world numbers. And so let's assume you have a situation where you say, "Hey listen, I know you're kind of on the fence about buying right now, but I just wanna walk you through something to think about. If you were back in time six months ago when we started talking about buying, and you bought a house back then, let's just run through some numbers. I'm gonna compare that to where we're...
Hey guys, here's a fun idea you're probably not doing now in terms of marketing your listings, which is doing a behind the scenes viewpoint of what you're doing to market listings.
And I what you're thinking: What does that mean? Well, a lot of us that watch television today, we'll see a lot of behind the scenes. Everybody loves to see behind the scenes. Like if you're watching your favorite show, whether it's House of Dragons or The Handmaid's Tale or whatever, at the end of the show, they'll circle back and they'll do behind the scenes interviews and so forth.
And people love it. They eat that up. That's when you bought the dvd—yes, we used to do that—we would get the DVD extras and that's what it would have on there.
You can do the same thing with your listings.
What if you started doing some behind the scenes work? And what do I mean by that?
What if you had you taking some photos or some, some...
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Here's an interesting question I get a lot as a supervising principal broker, and that is this:
Can I, as an agent, talk to an appraiser? Lot of misinformation about this and some appraisers, it's true, just won't talk to you. But you are okay and it's totally ethical for you to talk to an appraiser.
In fact, NAR has a FAQ on this. You can go look it up, but in their FAQ, they specifically state that people that have an interest in the transaction are completely okay in talking to the appraiser. Now, why would we talk to the appraiser? Or what would be the reason?
Well, there's a lot of reasons. One of 'em, we might be just communicating information about the houseless condition. Improvements that have been done. If there was multiple offers on the home, if the comp sets you used are totally appropriate, you can give them a copy of your comps. If the appraiser wants to accept them, they don't have to. New pending transactions that have...
What's the number one reason somebody should be buying a home now as opposed to waiting?
Number one reason is this:
Lawrence Yun, chief economist for NAR at a recent conference said this. He said that it's totally within the realm of possibility that we'll see interest rates at eight and a half percent interest next year in 2023.
Why? We know the Fed has already announced they're gonna do another rate increase in November and another one after that, then they're gonna take a pause. So two more increases are coming and we're already at 7%, eight and a half, maybe a low estimate. So when, although we feel like the interest rate is high, it's not high relative to history. Remember the average interest rate over the last 50 years has been 8%. We're at 7%. So when we look at it from a historical standpoint, it's not as high as we perceive it.
We perceive it to be high because we're basing it on the 60 year low. We just live to...
News from NAR (National Association Realtors) came out recently and they said that home sales are down 23.8%. But strangely, home prices are up 8.4%. So where's the conflict there? How are we having these crazy numbers?
Well, here's the reality — there's two reasons for it:
One is that we are still benefiting from appreciation that happened at the beginning of the year when interest rates were close to 3%.
And the second reason?
We're benefiting from low supply. We still are at a historically low supply, about 3.3 months of supply. Meaning if every REALTOR stopped working today, it would take 3.3 months of time for us to sell out that inventory.
So what's a healthy balance market? A healthy balance market is about six months of supply.
By the way, I want you to get this in your mind. It's completely different than the Great Recession. We entered the great recession with 11 months of supply. Strong buyer's market. We are...
Cristen Lincoln has been practicing real estate for over 29 years. As a top producing REALTOR she brings a wealth of knowledge around building a sustainable business, finding your passion, and being authentic with your clients. Listen as she provides critical insights into building a team that supports ‘awesomeness’ and why showing up every day regardless of your production level is critical to your success. This is a can’t miss interview!
Would it be crazy to buy a house now?
This is a question that people are gonna ask you. I've heard this question come up a few times just in my social circles.
I'm gonna tell you there's two key reasons why it's a great time to buy a house. Not just a good time, but a great time to buy a house.
1. You have more buying power than you've ever had in the last 10 years.
Think about the last year. Just last year, if you were gonna go buy a house, you're competing with 10 other buyers, you're always gonna be in a multiple opera situation. You're gonna have to come in with non-refundable more money, go over full price, have an appraisal gap language, remove inspections before you've even done an inspection. You were at such a disadvantage as a buyer.
Let's contrast that with today:
When you come in as a buyer, first of all, sellers are reducing their prices en masse. Plus, they're gonna reduce their price again, when you make an...
Hey guys, when we're talking to a seller and we're having this conversation about price—because price is the ultimate marketing tool that we have—sometimes it's hard for sellers to understand the relationship between the price and interest rates.
So I wanna give you some scripting and some dialogues along these lines, which is really important. And it's focusing on the difference in affordability for buyers and really how most buyers are payment focused.
So if I'm sitting with a seller, I might say:
"Now you've probably been hearing that the interest rates have been rising. But I wanna relate that to what that means to a buyer for your home. So the beginning of the year, interest rates were pretty much at 60-year lows or around 3% level. And since the beginning of the year, we've really more than doubled. We're now pushing 7% and we're probably gonna be over 7% very soon.
And so here's what...
Here's a target market right now that could be a massive opportunity for us:
We should be looking for opportunities. In every market shift, there's an opportunity. And one opportunity we're starting to see is retirement.
People are accelerating their retirement plans. In fact, the number of retirees in the marketplace is up 13.7% in the third quarter of this year.
A lot of people just don't wanna face the challenges of recessionary markets and things happening, and that's out of their control. They just want to exit and enjoy the rest of their time, right?
So when you have a retiree, by definition, a lot of times what they do is they want to downsize. They wanna scale back their lifestyle, so they can afford the retirement. And we're seeing this a lot with empty nesters and just people that are ready for the next phase of their lives.
So these retirees are perfect target audience for us in that they're probably...
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