Hey guys, the market is shifting. If you can feel it in your market, you're not alone. One study that's backing this up is a study that's just been done by realtor.com. It shows that of the top 300 Metro markets in the country, 45 are seeing significant price adjustments happening.
I'll give you a couple examples:
Des Moine, Iowa — 32% of the listings have had a price adjustment
Midland, Texas — 28% of listings have had a price adjustment
Toledo, Ohio — 26% of listings have had a price adjustment
Metairie, Louisiana — 24% of listings have had a price adjustment
Where I live, Portland, Oregon — 20% of listings have had a price adjustment.
So not every market's having this yet. But we're certainly seeing sellers starting to be wise to the fact that buyers aren't just going to pay infinity anymore. There is buyer resistance to pricing. We've seen the largest run-up in pricing. Prices have hit an all-time...
Let's say you have an active, qualified buyer who wants to live in a certain neighborhood. But you've shown them everything and can't find what they're looking for.
One technique to try is to identify any for sale by owners in that market that are either new for sale by owners or what I call "legacy" for sale by owners. Meaning, people that were on the market three, four, five, six months ago, even as much as a year ago.
We give you some great techniques to do that over erealestatecoach. But then the question is, what do we do once we are making the call to these for sale by owners?
What do we say to let them let us in the door? I'm going to give you the script that I'm going to put it down below. So you have it. And if you like this script, and you'd like to see more, I can share with you where you can find more of these scripts. But here is the script:
"Good morning. I noticed you have a home for sale in Laurelwood. And just wondering if...
Something interesting that you might find surprising that it relates to real estate, but fertility rates in the US have gone down dramatically over the last hundred years. In America today, we've actually had another 1% decrease.
We have the lowest birth rates than we've had in a hundred years.
Here are the numbers:
For every 1000 women in America aged between 15 and 44, there's 58.3 births. And you compare this to World War Two, when all the baby boomers were born, that number was more closer to 140 births! So huge difference in the numbers.
Now, how does this relate to real estate? I'm going to share with you now. Here is the the data today:
Looking at buyers who have children under the age of 18 in the home, the share of that group has declined from 58% in 1985, all the way down to 33% in 2020. So there's a much smaller group of people buying homes. It's actually the minority, not the majority, who have kids under 18 at home.
So you need to...
What do you say to a buyer who thinks we're in a housing bubble?
The response to this is really important and you might want to speak about this just on social media. It's a great social media post to talk about because it's on people's minds. They're a little bit fearful of going into the market and paying too much, getting trapped, or thinking it's like 2009 again.
So here's your response (and it could be a video response or post response) where you say:
"Hey, several buyers have asked me recently, is this a good time to buy? Or should they wait until prices fall? What they're really asking me is, are we in a housing bubble? Right? And the answer is no.
In fact, we have several solid economic indicators that show us that we're not even close to a bubble. And we're actually in an incredibly healthy real estate market and home prices are likely to rise going forward for the next several months.
Here's a couple of reasons why:
1. The number of homes...
Why is list price versus sales price such an important number to know and master in your market?
Here's the answer:
Buyers and sellers need to understand that when they're making or accepting offers, this number will have impact. And I'll give you an example:
Every buyer wants to get a great deal, right? Every buyer wants to feel like they're beating the market. So when we sit with a buyer, we need to educate them about what's happening in the marketplace. For instance, in my market today, sellers are receiving on average 99% of list price. Some are getting much more — they're getting 105% or 106% of list price. But the average in our market is 99%.
So with a buyer, what I'll say to them at the beginning of the relationship is:
"Hey, you know, many homes sell for full price in our current market, or even over full price. But the average is 99%. The key is to see how aggressively the sellers price their home compared to other listings in the area....
You are sitting on one of the best CRMs on earth — but you probably know that.
Facebook is absolutely your best CRM on earth. And then Instagram comes second and LinkedIn is third.
All of these social media platforms give us an insight into what's happening in people's lives.
Now how do you use that information? A lot of us just get up, drink our coffee every morning and scroll through social media meaninglessly. But you don't actually look at it as a CRM.
I want you to look at your social media differently. Look at it like it's a CRM Strategy Feed.
That means, I want you to look for "life changes" — meaning new jobs, new babies, retirements, and college graduations. Or people that are sick or going on vacation. There are many different scenarios where people have life changes — even divorces and engagements.
There's so many different life changes that people go through and today it's all public. Every single thing is public.
Have you gotten all of your reviews and recommendations from your past clients over the past year? If the answer is no, you're missing a huge opportunity because there's a young, aggressive, and strong agent that's rising rapidly and would like to capture your future clients.
These young agents are listening to podcasts, watching webinars, and they're learning about a secret weapon in the market — and they may be beating you without actually beating you.
Here's what I mean by that:
These young, aggressive agents are capturing reviews and recommendations. And they are hyper-conscious of getting five-star reviews from everyone and anyone who will give them to them. They're making sure that those reviews go on all the right places, which I'm going to outline for you. And what happens is you can have an agent that's only been in the business 2-3 years, but online, they look like they are super experienced because they've stacked up more reviews and...
Want to take a lot of listings rapidly?
The trick to do this is by targeting pre-foreclosure properties. There's 2.7 million homes in America today that are in a pre-foreclosure status. That number is so high because a lot of people have applied for a forbearance due to the COVID crisis, the struggling economy, and not being able to make their house payments.
A forbearance is where the lender gives the owner an opportunity to restructure their loan so they can either move or skip payments then make a balloon payment at the end.
But a lot of people are going into default because they're not able to get caught back up.
Here's the latest numbers we found from principal economist, Yanling Mayer from CoreLogic:
39.1% of all forborne loans are now 150 days behind payment. And 25% are 180 days past due.
Now, I don't say this to scare you that we're in 2009 again. The sky is not falling — and there are many differences between the market we were in then...
One question sellers often ask is this- "Should I improve my home or sell it?"
That's a interesting question because sometimes sellers will say, "I think I'm going to wait until I put the garage door on, or the garage door opener in, or the new dishwasher in, or I'm going to put a new roof on and repaint the house."
Usually we would say that's great because we want the house to be parade-ready and priced right but this is not a normal market. This is a frenzy market. We are seeing 71% of listings sell in the first 30 days for 99-100% of list price. Which creates a dilemma, sellers who invest dollars back into their home may not necessarily get 100% of that money back.
For example, fixing a garage door is the number one item that you could do to a home to increase its salability. But even today, you're still not going to get 100% of that money back as an investment. Sellers on average are getting about 85% of their investment returned. A deck edition is the second most important...
Do you feel confident when you talk to a buyer or seller for the first time? Do you feel like you own the conversation? If you don't feel that way, then the reason might be that you don't have competence.
When you come into a room, you want to be the smartest person in the room when it comes to your profession. Unless you've hit that standard you are never going to be at your highest level. Here is one easy way to gain competence that will help you feel more confident when you're having conversations with buyers and sellers.
Know your numbers. Every MLS has a monthly report which will give you the monthly stats to compare each month and year over year statistics. Look at the numbers for pending sales. Where are they in your market? How many properties sold last month in your market? How about new listings? How long does it take the average home to sell? What is the months of supply in your market? How do these numbers compare to the previous month and the previous year?
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