Here's some good news about the real estate market, and we need some good news right now:
As of the second quarter of 2022, home ownership rates were rising. So that's good.
And we say, well, why would anyone not want to be a homeowner? Right? When we're in the real estate business, we think everybody should be a homeowner.
But sometimes, renters have a hard time getting over the hump of deciding if it is a good idea to become a homeowner. Especially when we're seeing interest rates rise. We've seen prices still rising in some markets by double digits.
One thing you can point to, which is really powerful, is the concept of inflation.
Everybody knows what inflation is and inflation is touching everybody. And so you can point out that, "Hey, you know, I'm sure you're aware that inflation right now is at a record high, a 40-year high. The last reading was 8.5% inflation. But what people don't realize is that rents are...
Is it a good time to buy a house today?
It's an important question for us as REALTORS to be able to answer and really be passionate about it. This isn't just an answer we're giving because we wanna sell a house, but an answer that's actually backed up by real data.
That way, buyers will actually believe what we're saying and be influenced by what we're saying.
So here are 5 key reasons, backed up by data, why people should be excited about entering the market today:
1. Rents are rising quickly.
So if you're not a homeowner, what are you by default? In most cases, you're a renter. So latest reading shows that rents are up 14.8% compared to a year ago. And they're likely to continue to rise at a fast pace going forward.
2. Interest rates.
Interest rates have settled back down a little bit. They're not at the peaks anymore. So interest rates historically, when you look at the last five decades, have averaged 8%. Right now, we're in the high...
A number that we should be concerned with right now in the market is 16.1%.
So what does 16.1% represent?
It represents the number of transactions that were canceled last month. The last time we saw a number that high was at the beginning of COVID when buyers really didn't know what was gonna happen. March, April, when COVID really went into full effect in our country in 2020. That's when you saw this same level of cancellations. And that's what we're seeing again right now.
So how do we tighten down offers so that sellers have some clarity that they know they're gonna get to closing?
I'm gonna give you several things to think about. You might have a few more. But one of the things is getting the disclosure statement signed as quickly as you can.
Most states require a disclosure statement. This is where we're the seller's gonna disclose everything they know about the house to a buyer. But not waiting around, not delaying getting that...
Here's something we should all be doing with a seller at the beginning of our relationship:
When we take that listing, we should be resetting expectations on the number of live showings that will occur.
Last year, when we took a listing, we'd have 20, 30, 40, 50 showings in the first week. Today, that number maybe two or three or four or five. It will not be the same as it was last year at the same time.
So how do we reset this expectation?
One thing we need to talk about with the seller is the way the average buyer looks at homes. So last year in 2021, the NAR measured this and they found that buyers, on average, that purchased a home, looked at homes for eight weeks. And during that eight week period of time, they viewed eight homes. But of the eight homes they looked at, they looked at three virtually. And in the buyer's mind, that was a showing.
So we need to educate our sellers about what people consider to be a...
53% of today's clients that you're dealing with in the real estate industry are actually millennials. They represent the largest group of buyers and sellers in our business today.
And here's what's interesting:
Millennials actually trust referrals from family and friends over all other advertising messages. In fact, they're very distrustful of traditional media marketing.
So what do we do with that information? How do we adjust to that information?
Well, one thing we have to understand is that reviews and recommendations are becoming a really important part of our business. Which means we need to be focused intently on getting reviews and recommendations and endorsements online.
So, I want to ask you: do you have a process? Do you have a plan in place for collecting these reviews and recommendations?
Here's an example:
If we take a brand new agent in this industry, but an agent that's aggressive and doing well, and we...
I had one of my best agents come to me a couple years ago and she said, "Jim, I got a listing that's priced right. And we're getting showings. But we're not selling the property."
And I said okay, let's go take a look at it. So I made an appointment with her and we went up and looked at the property. And immediately when I pulled up, I knew what the problem was. The property had a steep driveway. And I told her I bet a lot of people were commenting on the driveway. And she said, "Yes, true. We're getting a lot of negative comments on the driveway. And I think that's really the biggest reason why people aren't, you know, looking at the house. Or looking at the house, but then rejecting it."
So we went in and explained to the sellers that they can have the best price property in the world. And actually, have the best house in the world, but that driveway could be the stumbling block for getting it sold.
So I'm gonna give you a...
Here's something that's come off the table over the last few years:
And that is the idea of an owner carrying their contract. We don't hear that term anymore because interest rates became so low, that no one would consider carrying a contract. Well with interest rates rising, this conversation would be something that we should be having with sellers now again.
And that conversation could be as simple as this:
"Hey, Mr. And Mrs. Seller, I just have a quick question. You guys have a pretty good equity position in your house. And just one thought came to mind. As interest rates are rising for typical mortgage rates, have you guys ever considered carrying a contract yourself? In other words, acting as the bank. This is where somebody would offer you a down payment, large enough to pay off your note that you have now and pay all the fees and everything else that's associated with the closing.
"But then after that, you'd have an income...
Here's some information that I think is super powerful that really no one talks a lot about. But it absolutely will impact you and I as REALTORS.
From 1968 to 2000, the average building in the country was 1.5 million new units. That's a long history there, 1968 to 2000. From 2000 to 2010, that number dropped to about 1.28 million units. Okay. Then we had a big building boom during the run up to the Great Recession. But then it collapsed and builders stopped building at all.
At the end of the day, when you add all those numbers together, what you find, and what analysts have found is that we are not building enough homes by a mile, right? And in fact, in order for us to just meet the supply demands of the country, we need to add 5.5 million housing units to our current inventory out there. And if we don't do that, we're gonna have perpetual low supply, which leads to higher prices and leads to kind of the market that...
Now here's another question that a lot of us are getting:
Is the market turning into a buyer's market?
This is really a market-by-market conversation. But I will tell you that we could easily have a situation in a lot of markets where you actually have a couple different markets within the larger market.
Here's what that means:
Markets aren't just one thing. They are a whole list of price bands, right? So you have lower tier price bands, mid tier price bands, and higher price bands. And in your market, as the market is transitioning, it's not all one thing. So you could have a lower tier price band that's still a strong sellers market. Lots of demand because that's where first time home buyers go, right?
But then as you move up the ladder, you might see that at the higher tiers—the luxury housing, for instance—that it is a buyer's market.
So what's the defining factor here?
You gotta ask yourself, how do I...
Here's an interesting question that we often get:
If I buy a house and sell a house in the same market, am I gonna give up some equity? Am I gonna make a mistake by doing that?
Well, generally when you're buying and selling a house in the same market, you're not gonna have any equity loss because you're just moving money from one house to the other. And actually in our current market, we have something kind of unique happening in a lot of areas of the country. Really it's a tale of two markets or maybe three markets.
But when you look at your market, it's not just one big market, right? It's broken down by price bands. And there's some price categories that are much hotter. They're much more active. People are much more engaged and that would typically be the lower price categories, right?
The first time home buyer categories. But as you move up that ladder to the second per home purchase, so maybe the starter luxury and the real...
Jim would like to talk to you about your real estate business with a complimentary 30 minute coaching session.
During the call be prepared to discuss - Your goals for the next twelve months. Your time management and priority management strategies. Your willingness to change and adapt to a changing market landscape, and your biggest choke points - what's really holding you back
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